Background

The kremlin Is Preparing a Large-Scale Provocation with Human Casualties

1/2/2026
singleNews

The Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine is warning of the continuation of the kremlin’s special operation to disrupt peace negotiations mediated by the USA.

This operation is complex in nature. After the so-called “attack on putin’s residence”, we are seeing the kremlin spreading new falsified information to prepare russian and foreign audiences for further escalation.

We predict with high probability a transition from manipulative influence to the rf special services’ armed provocation, resulting in significant human casualties. The expected time – on the eve of or during the celebration of Christmas according to the Julian calendar. The location of the provocation may be a religious building or other object of high symbolic significance either in russia or in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.

To falsify evidence of Ukraine’s involvement, it is planned to use fragments of Western-made strike UAVs, which will be delivered to the site of the provocation from the line of combat.

Exploiting fear and committing terrorist acts with human casualties under a “foreign flag” is entirely consistent with the modus operandi of russian special services.

putin’s regime has repeatedly used this tactic within the rf, and now this same model is being exported abroad, as indirectly confirmed by public statements from senior russian officials.

We appeal to the media to question and thoroughly verify the materials published by the kremlin and not to spread russian fakes.