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Oleh Ivashchenko, Foreign Intelligence Chief of Ukraine: russia will be technically ready for a new aggression – against Europe – in 2–4 years after the war

In his first interview since the full-scale invasion began, the FISU chief told Ukrinform about russia's strategic plans for Ukraine, its economic and military capabilities, mobilization resources, and spoke in detail about the assistance in the war provided to russia by its allies - the dprk, belarus, and China.
5/28/2025

Mortgage Trap: russia Has Let  Down Its “Heroes” Again

russian banks and developers do not see the “heroes of the special military operation” as their clients. After the abolition of preferential mortgages in the rf in 2024, the availability of housing for participants in the war against Ukraine has sharply decreased. In case of dismissal from the contract, the serviceman loses the right to state support, which automatically transfers the loan to the category of problem loans. The contract is over – there is no income, and the mortgage is stuck. For the bank, the former “hero of the special military operation” is a debtor, for the market, he is ballast.
5/28/2025
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russian Agroindustrial Complex Has Failed to Cope with Exports Without Stolen Ukrainian Grain

In May 2025, russia’s wheat exports decreased  to 1.8 million tons, a significant decline  from 2.4 million tons in April and 2.1 million tons in the same period last year. The number of importing countries decreased from 43 to 16. Among them, Iran received the largest volumes (270 thousand tons), while supplies to Egypt, Turkey, Bangladesh, and Saudi Arabia decreased  two times  or more.
5/28/2025
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May 28, 2025 Ukraine and the World – Against russia’s Aggression. Sanctions in Action

The russian coal industry, which has plunged into a deep crisis after the embargo on fuel supplies to the European Union and the decline in world prices, will not recover in the next five years. In 2030, the export of coal from russia by sea, which accounts for more than 80 % of exports, will decrease by 10 % to the level of 2024 and will amount to 150 million tons.
5/28/2025
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Hundreds of Ukrainian Companies Are Already Producing Results for Ukraine’s Defense Forces, With More to Follow – Address by the President

We are now fully mobilizing our entrepreneurial capacity for weapons production. We are also preparing new agreements with our European partners in the near future, to attract investment into Ukrainian production. First and foremost, this means the production of unmanned systems and long-range capabilities – everything that allows us to maintain control on the front lines, protect the lives of our warriors, and operate at significant distances.
5/28/2025
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Collapse of the Corporate Sector of the russian Economy

russian corporations are massively suspending dividend payments due to the economic crisis. The boards of directors of at least twenty public companies have recommended not to distribute last year’s profits. The reasons are a decline in export revenues, declining profits, Western sanctions, and high borrowing costs.
5/27/2025
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Cleansing of Elites Continues in russia: the kremlin Increases Pressure on Oligarchs and Redistributes Their Assets

The kremlin is not only increasing pressure on business, but is also managing the redistribution of influence. Businessmen are forced to demonstrate full political loyalty, otherwise they risk losing their property or freedom. Repression is becoming a common way of controlling the economy, and conflicts between law enforcement agencies and oligarchs are turning into another front within the russian government itself.
5/27/2025
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The kremlin Is Reformatting Its Approach to the “Near Abroad”

An internal struggle for control over the post-soviet space is unfolding in the kremlin. After the obvious loss of influence in Georgia, Armenia and Moldova, the kremlin is launching a tough reformatting of the rf’s presidential administration. In the centre of attention is Sergei Kiriyenko, who is becoming the main curator of the “near abroad” countries.
5/27/2025
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May 27, 2025 Ukraine and the World – Against russia’s Aggression. Sanctions in Action

US President Donald Trump says he is “definitely” considering toughening sanctions against russia. European Commissioner for Defense Andrius Kubilius has said that russia does not have the strength that is often attributed to it and is not capable of winning a war against Ukraine.
5/27/2025
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We Can See from the Information Obtained by Intelligence and from Open-Source Data That putin and His Entourage Do Not Plan to End the War – Address by the President

Today, I held a meeting of the Staff. There were intelligence reports – very thorough ones. We discussed the overall situation: the war, russia’s intentions, the capabilities of russia’s troops and its military and industrial complex, as well as our ability to pressure russia and disrupt its plans.
5/27/2025
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May 26, 2025 Ukraine and the World – Against russia’s Aggression. Sanctions in Action

On May 26, the Netherlands will send its last – the 24th – F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine, Minister of Defence Ruben Brekelmans said.
5/26/2025
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China Supplies Special Chemicals, Gunpowder and Machine Tools to russia’s 20 Military Plants – Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine Oleh Ivashchenko

“There is information that China supplies machine tools, special chemicals, gunpowder and components to military enterprises. We have confirmed data on 20 russian plants,” he said. Besides, according to Ivashchenko, at least five cases of aviation cooperation with the PRC were recorded in 2024-2025. These are equipment, spare parts, and documentation. In six cases, there were large deliveries of special chemicals.
5/25/2025
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Consumer Demand Has Begun to Decline in russia amid Rising Prices for Basic Necessities

In January–May 2025, demand for russian products declined both in the domestic and foreign markets. The reasons for this were tough monetary policy, inflation (10.34 % in March, 10.23 % – in April), and an increase in the population’s savings behavior due to the economic crisis in the country.
5/25/2025
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May 25, 2025 Ukraine and the World – Against russia’s Aggression. Sanctions in Action

The European Union is considering disconnecting more than 20 russian banks from the SWIFT system as part of a new package of sanctions against russia and new trade restrictions worth about EUR 2.5 billion. The EU may also reduce the ceiling price for russian oil to $45 a barrel and impose a ban on the construction of the “nord stream” gas pipeline.
5/25/2025
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Next Week Must Be a Time for Action Aimed at Increasing Pressure on russia – In Other Words, Aimed at Securing Peace – Address by the President

The main update: we continued the exchange today. Another 307 of our warriors have been returned home – privates and sergeants. Tomorrow is the third stage. We are to free a thousand of our people these days. But the task is to bring home absolutely everyone who is currently held in russia. And this is a joint task for our intelligence services, for our diplomats, for our entire state.
5/25/2025
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Militarization of russia’s Economy Has Led to the Collapse of a Number of Sectors

Despite the record low unemployment, russia’s labor market is in deep crisis. The militarization of the economy has created a paradox: amidst a shortage of personnel in industry (almost two million vacancies in manufacturing included), massive layoffs are taking place in civilian sectors.
5/24/2025
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russia Is Losing the Chinese Market Due to Changing Energy Priorities and Geopolitics

China keeps systemically reducing its purchases of russian energy. In January–April 2025, oil imports from russia declined by 14 % to 32.4 million tons, while exporters’ revenues decreased by 23.9 % to $17.1 billion.
5/24/2025
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May 24, 2025 Ukraine and the World – Against russia’s Aggression. Sanctions in Action

US Senate Majority Leader John Thune has said that Senators are ready to toughen sanctions against russia if it does not make a “serious proposal for an immediate ceasefire” in Ukraine.
5/24/2025
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What Matters Most Is That Ukraine Is Bringing Its People Home; I Thank Everyone Around the World Who Is Helping Us – Address by the President

The main thing: an exchange took place. And this is the first stage of the largest exchange agreed upon in Türkiye. In fact, it is the only significant outcome of the meeting in Türkiye – everything else is being blocked by the Russians. Blocked for now. But bringing our people back is exactly what we always work for. We will definitely bring everyone back.
5/24/2025
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russian Strategic Enterprises Are Losing Financial Stability

On June 26, “gazprom” intends to decide to refrain from paying dividends for 2024. The reasons for this are the loss of access to key export markets, toughening of Western sanctions, and a decline in market capitalization (within the last week alone, “gazprom”’s stock prices have decreased by almost 5 %).
5/23/2025