The kremlin’s New Economic Strategy: Propaganda Without Economic Foundation

The government of the rf has published a Plan for Structural Changes until 2030, which is presented as a strategy for growth and increasing economic stability. The document covers seven areas and more than 60 indicators, including employment reform, stimulation of domestic demand, technological modernization, improvement of the investment climate, development of foreign trade, and optimization of the military-industrial complex. Official forecasts predict GDP growth of 3–4 %, a reduction in inflation to 4.5 % in 2027, and a reduction in the discount rate to 10–11 %.

However, in reality, this is a declarative and propagandistic document, detached from reality. The stated goals contradict actual trends: the labor market is shrinking, the investment climate is deteriorating, and support for military-industrial complex enterprises undermines any principles of competitiveness. Sanctions, falling production, and capital flight make the projected indicators unattainable.

In fact, the plan is an attempt to create an optimistic facade against the background of severe fiscal constraints. Promises of technological modernization and growth appear to be political rhetoric rather than economic strategy.

The real goal of the document is to centralize control over financial flows, tax revenues, and key sectors. This is not a development program, but a tool for increasing state pressure, which underscores its unreality and demonstrates disconnect from real economic processes.